Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Khimki win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.