Russian Premier League | Gameweek 10

Sep 28, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

RZD Arena

Lokomotiv
3 - 1
Spartak Moscow

Samoshnikov (7', 36'), Vorobyev (58')
Samoshnikov (70')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Barco (16' pen.)
Babic (45+5'), Ugalde (47'), Reabciuk (61'), Barco (71'), Martins Pereira (86'), Khlusevich (90+2')
(86')

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Spartak Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions

Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 1-3 Lokomotiv
Sunday, September 22 at 5pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Spartak Moscow

All competitions

Last Game: Spartak Moscow 2-2 Dynamo Moscow
Sunday, September 22 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Spartak Moscow
35.43% ( 0.27)	25.53% ( -0.04)	39.04% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 55.75% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.81% (

0.22)

48.19% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.65% (

0.21)

70.35% (

-0.2)

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.67% (

0.27)

26.33% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.54% (

0.36)

61.46% (

-0.35)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.67% (

-0.02)

24.33% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.28% (

-0.03)

58.72% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Lokomotiv Moscow 35.43%

Spartak Moscow 39.04%

Draw 25.53%

Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Spartak Moscow
1-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.26% Total : 35.43%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.53%	0-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 39.04%