Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 14
Nov 5, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
RZD Arena

Lokomotiv
1 - 1
Spartak Moscow

Dzyuba (63')
Barinov (45'), Miranchuk (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zinkovskiy (53')
Ignatov (60')
Khlusevich (38')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Spartak Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rostov 1-0 Lokomotiv
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 2-0 Spartak Moscow
Saturday, October 28 at 12pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 37.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawSpartak Moscow
37.9% (-2.015 -2.02)24.59% (0.577 0.58)37.5% (1.435 1.44)
Both teams to score 59.27% (-2.038 -2.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.28% (-2.689 -2.69)43.71% (2.687 2.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.89% (-2.688 -2.69)66.1% (2.686 2.69)
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (-2.17 -2.17)22.9% (2.169 2.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.33% (-3.307 -3.31)56.66% (3.306 3.31)
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.88% (-0.46599999999999 -0.47)23.11% (0.464 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.03% (-0.686 -0.69)56.97% (0.684 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Lokomotiv Moscow 37.9%
    Spartak Moscow 37.5%
    Draw 24.58%
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawSpartak Moscow
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-0 @ 7.8% (0.414 0.41)
2-0 @ 5.75% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.39 -0.39)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.332 -0.33)
3-0 @ 2.83% (-0.224 -0.22)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.257 -0.26)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.206 -0.21)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.158 -0.16)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 37.9%
1-1 @ 11.42% (0.45 0.45)
2-2 @ 6.17% (-0.242 -0.24)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.598 0.6)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.185 -0.19)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.58%
1-2 @ 8.37% (0.223 0.22)
0-1 @ 7.76% (0.781 0.78)
0-2 @ 5.68% (0.501 0.5)
1-3 @ 4.09% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.77% (0.21 0.21)
1-4 @ 1.5%
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 37.5%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 17
Lokomotiv
1-2
Spartak Moscow
Isidor (87')
Promes (21' pen.), Prutsev (29')
Sep 18, 2022 5pm
Apr 2, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 23
Lokomotiv
1-0
Spartak Moscow
Isidor (85')
Beka Beka (24'), Babkin (58'), Maradishvili (80'), Isidor (90+1')

Caufriez (48')
Nov 7, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 14
Spartak Moscow
1-1
Lokomotiv
Umyarov (64')
Litvinov (11'), Sobolev (36'), Bakaev (36')
Litvinov (35')
Kerk (23')
Maradishvili (26'), Kulikov (30'), Kerk (45+1'), Zhivoglyadov (55'), Barinov (78'), Jedvaj (90')
Apr 11, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 25
Lokomotiv
2-0
Spartak Moscow
Kamano (22'), Smolov (45+2')
Barinov (55'), Mukhin (58'), Marinato (74'), Kamano (76'), Zhemaletdinov (84'), Zhivoglyadov (85')

Sobolev (23'), Dzhikiya (76'), Maslov (85')
Lucas (45')