Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 64.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.65%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Khimki win it was 1-0 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.