Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.