Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 57.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 18.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.