Russian Premier League | Gameweek 17

Nov 30, 2024 at 11am UK

Samara Arena

Akron
1 - 0
Orenburg

Loncar (60')
Loncar (43'), Savichev (50'), Pestryakov (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Marin (45+1')

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Akron Tolyatti and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Akron Tolyatti

All competitions

Last Game: Rubin Kazan 3-0 Akron
Friday, November 22 at 4pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Orenburg

All competitions

Last Game: Orenburg 0-1 Zenit
Saturday, November 23 at 9am in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akron Tolyatti win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akron Tolyatti win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Akron Tolyatti in this match.

Result
Akron Tolyatti	Draw	Orenburg
41.56% ( 0.02)	25.37% ( -0.01)	33.07% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.79% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.09% (

0.04)

47.9% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.92% (

0.04)

70.08% (

-0.04)

Akron Tolyatti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.08% (

0.03)

22.92% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.31% (

0.04)

56.69% (

-0.04)

Orenburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.39% (

0.01)

27.61% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.85% (

0.02)

63.14% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Akron Tolyatti 41.56%

Orenburg 33.07%

Draw 25.36%

Akron Tolyatti	Draw	Orenburg
1-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 41.56%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 33.07%