Russian Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 at 9am UK
Stadion Gazovik
Zenit St Petersburg

Orenburg
0 - 1
Zenit


Kovalenko (31')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Erokhin (90+6')
Sobolev (19')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Zenit St Petersburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Last Game: Makhachkala 2-1 Orenburg
Saturday, November 9 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League

Zenit St Petersburg

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-1 Zenit
Friday, November 15 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.25%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
OrenburgDrawZenit St Petersburg
33.25% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)23.46% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)43.29% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 62.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.97% (0.019999999999996 0.02)39.03% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.64% (0.019999999999996 0.02)61.35% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)23.26% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.81% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)57.18% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Zenit St Petersburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59% (0.030999999999992 0.03)18.41% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.43% (0.050999999999995 0.05)49.56% (-0.052 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 33.25%
    Zenit St Petersburg 43.29%
    Draw 23.46%
OrenburgDrawZenit St Petersburg
2-1 @ 7.71% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.25% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.55% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 33.25%
1-1 @ 10.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.52%
0-0 @ 4.28% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.46%
1-2 @ 8.94% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 7.25%
0-2 @ 6.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.05% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.68% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 3.46% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 43.29%

Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Zenit
1-0
Orenburg
Mantuan (61' pen.)
Wendel (72')

Malykh (59'), Sidorov (72'), Oganesyan (74'), Ghorbani (90+5')
Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm
Gameweek 25
Zenit
1-0
Orenburg
Claudinho (23')
Nino (82')

Perez (44'), Deogracia (45'), Goglichidze (55'), Sidorov (66'), Prokhin (70')
Sep 30, 2023 10am
Gameweek 10
Orenburg
3-1
Zenit
Vorobyev (7'), Perez (25'), Mansilla (36')
Gojkovic (14'), Sidorov (49'), Mansilla (72'), Cuero (81'), Basic (90+2')
Mantuan (2')
Rodrigao (90+1')
May 20, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Orenburg
2-2
Zenit
Ektov (41'), Gojkovic (62')
Mansilla (58'), Sivakov (85')
Mantuan (28'), Sergeev (90+5')
Barrios (8'), Chistyakov (60'), Claudinho (76')
Sep 11, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 9
Zenit
8-0
Orenburg
Wendel (3', 43', 68'), Sergeev (17'), Kuzyaev (19'), Malcom (29', 59'), Pavlovets (51' og.)