Russian Premier League | Gameweek 10
Sep 27, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg
1 - 2
Nizhny Novgorod

Basic (59')
Rybchinsky (52'), Prokhin (72'), Basic (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tsarukyan (45'), Ozegovic (55')
Bozhenov (45+5'), Ozegovic (52'), Stamatov (71')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Nizhny Novgorod.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Khimki 0-0 Orenburg
Sunday, September 22 at 12.15pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 1-3 Lokomotiv
Sunday, September 22 at 5pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 23.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
OrenburgDrawNizhny Novgorod
51.73% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)24.68% (0.015999999999998 0.02)23.59% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.34% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.37% (-0.064 -0.06)50.63% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.46% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)72.54% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.44% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)19.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.53% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)51.47% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Nizhny Novgorod Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.82% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)36.18% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.04% (-0.041 -0.04)72.96% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 51.73%
    Nizhny Novgorod 23.59%
    Draw 24.67%
OrenburgDrawNizhny Novgorod
1-0 @ 11.54% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.42% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 51.73%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 7.07% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 24.67%
0-1 @ 7.19% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.66% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 23.59%

Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 10am
Gameweek 24
Orenburg
3-1
Nizhny Novgorod
Obukhov (2'), Adamov (51'), Marin (87')
Perez (14'), Florentin (24')
Boselli (43')
Maiga (70'), Nigmatullin (87')
Sep 24, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 9
Nizhny Novgorod
3-1
Orenburg
Correia (45'), Sevikyan (53'), Boselli (75')
Stamatov (56'), Aleksandrov (70'), Maiga (90+4')
Perez (28')
Kavalyow (73')
Apr 30, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 25
Orenburg
1-0
Nizhny Novgorod
Oganesyan (79')
Sep 18, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 10
Nizhny Novgorod
0-2
Orenburg
Ayupov (31'), Ektov (73')