Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akron Tolyatti win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akron Tolyatti win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akron Tolyatti would win this match.