Russian Premier League | Gameweek 20
Mar 8, 2025 at 9am UK
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg
1 - 2
Rostov

Mansilla (28')
Marin (15'), Malykh (21'), Saharkhizan Gendishmin (66'), Savelyev (87'), Khotulev (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Osipenko (22'), Komlichenko (70')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Rostov.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 2-0 Orenburg
Sunday, March 2 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League

Rostov

All competitions
Last Game: Rostov 1-1 Dynamo Moscow
Sunday, March 2 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
OrenburgDrawRostov
39.97% (0.1 0.1)25.82% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)34.2% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 54.54% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.35% (0.128 0.13)49.65% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33% (0.113 0.11)71.67% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.5% (0.108 0.11)24.49% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.05% (0.152 0.15)58.95% (-0.154 -0.15)
Rostov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.24% (0.019000000000005 0.02)27.76% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.66% (0.023999999999994 0.02)63.33% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 39.97%
    Rostov 34.2%
    Draw 25.82%
OrenburgDrawRostov
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.73% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.04% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 39.97%
1-1 @ 12.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.71% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.58% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 34.2%

Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Rostov
3-2
Orenburg
Komlichenko (51', 52'), Cesar (90+4')
Cesar (90+6')
Mansilla (18'), Marin (35')
Perez (23'), Deogracia (24'), Mansilla (32'), Moskvichev (45+1')
Apr 29, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 26
Rostov
2-1
Orenburg
Cesar (81'), Komlichenko (90+6')
Cesar (31'), Langovich (44')
Thompson (12')
Mansilla (41'), Ghorbani (51'), Prokhin (85')
Nov 6, 2023 11am
Gameweek 14
Orenburg
1-1
Rostov
Vorobyev (71')
Florentin (32'), Obukhov (45+2'), Perez (50'), Marin (76'), Mansilla (88')
Osipenko (85')
Shchetinin (45+4'), Bayramyan (77')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Orenburg
2-2
Rostov
Mansilla (14'), Obukhov (22')
Golenkov (80'), Osipenko (89')
Aug 7, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 4
Rostov
2-1
Orenburg
Poloz (45+1' pen.), Komlichenko (60' pen.)
Pesyakov (68'), Karpin (70'), Utkin (90+1'), Mironov (90+3')
Vorobyev (69' pen.)
Sivakov (2'), Malykh (33'), Pavlovets (34'), Ektov (59')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!