Russian Premier League | Gameweek 19

Mar 2, 2025 at 1.30pm UK

Otkrytiye Arena

Spartak Moscow
2 - 0
Orenburg

Ugalde (51'), Solari (90+6')
Denisov (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sidorov (7'), Marin (49')
Sidorov (58')

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Spartak Moscow and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartak Moscow

All competitions

Last Game: Spartak Moscow 3-0 Nizhny Novgorod
Saturday, December 7 at 11am in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Orenburg

All competitions

Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 1-0 Orenburg
Sunday, December 8 at 4pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 64.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 15.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Orenburg win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Spartak Moscow in this match.

Result
Spartak Moscow	Draw	Orenburg
64.49% ( 0.27)	19.59% ( -0.04)	15.93% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 55.18% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.78% (

-0.26)

39.23% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.44% (

-0.27)

61.56% (

0.28)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.53%

11.48% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.68% (

-0.01)

36.32% (

0.01)

Orenburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.34% (

-0.43)

37.66% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.56% (

-0.43)

74.44% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Spartak Moscow 64.48%

Orenburg 15.93%

Draw 19.59%

Spartak Moscow	Draw	Orenburg
2-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.86% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 4.09% Total : 64.48%	1-1 @ 9.14% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.59%	1-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.22% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.16% Total : 15.93%