Russian Premier League | Gameweek 16

Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK

Otkrytiye Arena

Spartak Moscow
5 - 2
Lokomotiv

Ugalde (10', 21', 34', 73'), Barco (80')
Stankovic (0'), Reabciuk (50'), Martins Pereira (62')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Pinyaev (55'), Nyamsi (63')
Nyamsi (41'), Montes (42'), Suleymanov (67'), Batrakov (69'), Samoshnikov (85')

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Spartak Moscow and Lokomotiv Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartak Moscow

All competitions

Last Game: Spartak Moscow 4-0 Akron
Sunday, November 10 at 12.15pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions

Last Game: Lokomotiv 2-1 Fakel
Saturday, November 9 at 11am in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Spartak Moscow	Draw	Lokomotiv Moscow
50.38% ( 0.22)	23.81% ( 0.41)	25.81% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 56.45% (

-1.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.01% (

-2.35)

44.98% (

2.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.66% (

-2.3)

67.33% (

2.3)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.08% (

-0.8)

17.91% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.28% (

-1.4)

48.72% (

1.4)

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.77% (

-1.72)

31.23% (

1.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.42% (

-2.05)

67.57% (

2.06)

Score Analysis

Spartak Moscow 50.38%

Lokomotiv Moscow 25.81%

Draw 23.8%

Spartak Moscow	Draw	Lokomotiv Moscow
2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.71) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.61% Total : 50.38%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.55) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.8%	1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.82% Total : 25.81%