Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 70.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 10.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.61%) and 0-3 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Spartak Moscow in this match.