Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 80.78%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 6.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.62%) and 1-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (2.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.