Russian Premier League | Gameweek 18

Dec 7, 2024 at 11am UK

Otkrytiye Arena

Spartak Moscow
3 - 0
Nizhny Novgorod

Bongonda (53'), Ugalde (62'), Barco (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Karapuzov (33'), Vedernikov (90+2')

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Spartak Moscow and Nizhny Novgorod.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartak Moscow

All competitions

Last Game: Krasnodar 0-3 Spartak Moscow
Sunday, December 1 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Nizhny Novgorod

All competitions

Last Game: Rostov 4-0 Nizhny Novgorod
Saturday, November 30 at 4pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 80.78%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 6.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.62%) and 1-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (2.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Spartak Moscow	Draw	Nizhny Novgorod
80.78% ( -0.04)	12.84% ( 0.01)	6.38% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 44.15% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.98% (

0.04)

35.02% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.99% (

0.04)

57.01% (

-0.04)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.32% (

6.68% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.23% (

-0)

24.76% (

Nizhny Novgorod Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.31% (

0.1)

52.69% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.55% (

0.06)

86.45% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Spartak Moscow 80.77%

Nizhny Novgorod 6.38%

Draw 12.84%

Spartak Moscow	Draw	Nizhny Novgorod
2-0 @ 12.88% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 11.62% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 5.04% ( 0) 5-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.73% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.92% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 4% Total : 80.77%	1-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.57% Total : 12.84%	0-1 @ 2.26% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 6.38%