Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 59.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 19.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.