Dynamo Moscow
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 6, 2024 at 5pm UK
VTB Arena (Moskva)
CSKA Moscow

Dynamo Moscow
1 - 2
CSKA

Carrascal (55')
Ngamaleu (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fayzullayev (17'), Musaev (89')
Kislyak (73'), Musaev (89')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Dynamo Moscow and CSKA Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dynamo Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Makhachkala 0-1 Dynamo Moscow
Sunday, September 29 at 5pm in Russian Premier League

CSKA Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: CSKA 3-0 Akhmat Grozny
Saturday, September 28 at 12pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for CSKA Moscow in this match.

Result
Dynamo MoscowDrawCSKA Moscow
30.33% (-0.428 -0.43)24.16% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)45.51% (0.443 0.44)
Both teams to score 58.73% (-0.193 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.46% (-0.151 -0.15)43.54% (0.152 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.07% (-0.148 -0.15)65.93% (0.149 0.15)
Dynamo Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)27.22% (0.355 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36% (-0.463 -0.46)62.64% (0.465 0.46)
CSKA Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.7% (0.127 0.13)19.3% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.95% (0.207 0.21)51.05% (-0.206 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Dynamo Moscow 30.33%
    CSKA Moscow 45.51%
    Draw 24.15%
Dynamo MoscowDrawCSKA Moscow
2-1 @ 7.32% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-0 @ 6.84% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.45% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.17% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.93% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 30.33%
1-1 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.25% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.15%
1-2 @ 9.25% (0.042 0.04)
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 7.11% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 5.07% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.9% (0.071 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.3% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.09% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.6% (0.036 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 45.51%

Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
CSKA
2-3
Dynamo Moscow
Fayzullayev (23'), Zabolotny (40')
Willyan (76')
Bitello (7', 54'), Tyukavin (74')
Fernandez (58'), Balbuena (62'), Laxalt (83'), Leshchuk (90+2')
Aug 19, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 5
Dynamo Moscow
2-1
CSKA
Ngamaleu (46'), Smolov (83' pen.)
Ngamaleu (34'), Smolov (76')
Zabolotny (6')
Willyan (41')
Nov 13, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 17
Dynamo Moscow
2-1
CSKA
Skopintsev (40'), Ngamaleu (63')
Oblyakov (65')
Oct 8, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
CSKA
1-1
Dynamo Moscow
Willyan (12')
Smolov (44')
Apr 24, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
CSKA
1-0
Dynamo Moscow
Ejuke (67')
Gbamin (89'), Fernandes (90+4')

Laxalt (38'), Yevgenyev (86')