Russian Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 8, 2024 at 4pm UK
Akhmat Arena

Akhmat Grozny
1 - 0
Orenburg

Zhirov (50')
Camilo (58'), Silva (78'), Stolbov (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Basic (38'), Sliskovic (39'), Karatas (49'), Silva (86')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Akhmat Grozny and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Akhmat Grozny

All competitions
Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 1-1 Dynamo Moscow
Monday, December 2 at 4pm in Russian Premier League

Orenburg

All competitions
Last Game: Akron 1-0 Orenburg
Saturday, November 30 at 11am in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Akhmat Grozny in this match.

Result
Akhmat GroznyDrawOrenburg
46.1% (1.771 1.77)25.63% (0.036000000000001 0.04)28.27% (-1.806 -1.81)
Both teams to score 52.58% (-1.198 -1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.99% (-1.057 -1.06)51.01% (1.058 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.12% (-0.937 -0.94)72.88% (0.938 0.94)
Akhmat Grozny Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.89% (0.369 0.37)22.11% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.52% (0.555 0.56)55.48% (-0.554 -0.55)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.5% (-1.868 -1.87)32.5% (1.869 1.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.97% (-2.155 -2.16)69.02% (2.156 2.16)
Score Analysis
    Akhmat Grozny 46.1%
    Orenburg 28.27%
    Draw 25.62%
Akhmat GroznyDrawOrenburg
1-0 @ 10.84% (0.57 0.57)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.123 0.12)
2-0 @ 8.18% (0.513 0.51)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.111 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.12% (0.301 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.06 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.129 0.13)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 46.1%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.19% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.08% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.344 -0.34)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.281 -0.28)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.271 -0.27)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.2 -0.2)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 28.27%

Head to Head
Jul 28, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 2
Orenburg
0-0
Akhmat Grozny
Perez (38'), Ghorbani (60')
Kovachev (19'), Ghandri (40'), Berisha (70')
Nov 26, 2023 9am
Gameweek 16
Orenburg
1-1
Akhmat Grozny
Obukhov (50')
Florentin (32'), Deogracia (33'), Perez (36'), Obukhov (45+1'), Kenyaykin (65'), Vorobyev (66')
Agalarov (65' pen.)
Berisha (39'), Agalarov (52'), Camilo (67'), Utsiyev (77'), Kharin (81')
Aug 20, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 5
Akhmat Grozny
4-0
Orenburg
Timofeev (9'), Berisha (24'), Ilyin (35'), Camilo (87')
Ilyin (59')

Gojkovic (36'), Florentin (74'), Obukhov (74')
Mar 4, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 18
Akhmat Grozny
3-1
Orenburg
Kharin (11'), Berisha (45+3' pen.), Timofeev (90+4')
Vorobyev (45+6')
Oct 9, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Orenburg
2-1
Akhmat Grozny
Sychevoy (53'), Ayupov (68')
Konate (28')