Russian Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 24, 2024 at 11am UK
Samara Arena

Krylia Sovetov
2 - 1
Akhmat Grozny

Oroz (49'), Dmitriev (88')
Costanza (45+3'), Rasskazov (58'), Dmitriev (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Samorodov (43')
Ghandri (39'), Todorovic (85')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Krylia Sovetov and Akhmat Grozny.

Form, Standings, Stats

Krylia Sovetov

All competitions
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 1-2 CSKA
Sunday, November 10 at 10am in Russian Premier League

Akhmat Grozny

All competitions
Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 1-2 Zenit
Sunday, November 10 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Krylia Sovetov would win this match.

Result
Krylia SovetovDrawAkhmat Grozny
46.23% (0.017999999999994 0.02)26.02% (0.143 0.14)27.76% (-0.161 -0.16)
Both teams to score 51.03% (-0.54499999999999 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.14% (-0.655 -0.66)52.86% (0.654 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.52% (-0.561 -0.56)74.48% (0.562 0.56)
Krylia Sovetov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)22.84% (0.269 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)56.56% (0.402 0.4)
Akhmat Grozny Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.13% (-0.474 -0.47)33.87% (0.473 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.46% (-0.514 -0.51)70.54% (0.515 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Krylia Sovetov 46.23%
    Akhmat Grozny 27.76%
    Draw 26.01%
Krylia SovetovDrawAkhmat Grozny
1-0 @ 11.42% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.43% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 46.23%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.73% (0.198 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.37% (0.108 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 27.76%

Head to Head
Sep 23, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 9
Akhmat Grozny
1-1
Krylia Sovetov
Cardoso (68')
Cardoso (28'), Camilo (29'), Todorovic (90+6')
Oroz (90+6')
Ezhov (49'), Oleynikov (61'), Oroz (87'), Galdames (90+6')
May 10, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 28
Krylia Sovetov
0-2
Akhmat Grozny

Babkin (22')
Konate (45+1'), Berisha (62')
Jul 22, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 1
Akhmat Grozny
1-2
Krylia Sovetov
Agalarov (90+5' pen.)
Kamilov (54'), Celikovic (67')
Garre (13'), Babkin (85')
Ezhov (58'), Costanza (71')
Mar 19, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 20
Krylia Sovetov
0-1
Akhmat Grozny
Timofeev (46')
Aug 27, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 7
Akhmat Grozny
1-2
Krylia Sovetov
Konate (5')
Shvets (45+4')
Oparin (30')
Ezhov (20'), Kovalenko (72')
Ezhov (7'), Bijl (47'), Khubulov (83'), Kovalenko (90+4')