Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 16.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.49%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Fakel win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
Fakel	Draw	Zenit St Petersburg
16.86% ( 0.05)	24.95% ( -0)	58.19% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 41.08% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.88% (

0.07)

59.12% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.43% (

0.05)

79.56% (

-0.05)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.56% (

0.1)

48.44% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.45% (

0.08)

83.55% (

-0.08)

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.67% (

0.01)

20.32% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.29% (

0.02)

52.71% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Fakel 16.86%

Zenit St Petersburg 58.17%

Draw 24.95%

Fakel	Draw	Zenit St Petersburg
1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 16.86%	1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.45% Total : 24.95%	0-1 @ 15.68% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 12.49% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.64% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 58.17%