Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 81.63%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 5.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.35%) and 1-0 (10.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6%), while for an Akron Tolyatti win it was 0-1 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.