Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 51.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 23.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for an Akron Tolyatti win it was 1-0 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.