Russian Premier League | Gameweek 20
Mar 9, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Samara Arena

Krylia Sovetov
0 - 2
Akron


Soldatenkov (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dzyuba (9'), Loncar (83')
Savichev (50'), Fernandez (65')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Krylia Sovetov and Akron Tolyatti.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Krasnodar 1-1 Krylia Sovetov
Saturday, March 1 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 2-1 Akron
Saturday, March 1 at 11am in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest Akron Tolyatti win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Krylia SovetovDrawAkron Tolyatti
49.59% (0.318 0.32)25.09% (0.030999999999999 0.03)25.32% (-0.35 -0.35)
Both teams to score 51.87% (-0.409 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.19% (-0.383 -0.38)50.8% (0.384 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.3% (-0.339 -0.34)72.69% (0.339 0.34)
Krylia Sovetov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)20.5% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.01% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)52.99% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Akron Tolyatti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.24% (-0.499 -0.5)34.75% (0.499 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.51% (-0.533 -0.53)71.48% (0.532 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Krylia Sovetov 49.59%
    Akron Tolyatti 25.32%
    Draw 25.09%
Krylia SovetovDrawAkron Tolyatti
1-0 @ 11.29% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.95% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.73% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 49.59%
1-1 @ 11.93% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.13% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.53% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.31% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 25.32%

Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 10am
Gameweek 14
Akron
2-0
Krylia Sovetov
Escoval (20'), Dzyuba (72')
Loncar (59'), Kuzmin (66')

Babkin (50')