Krasnodar
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 22
Mar 30, 2025 at 12pm UK
Stadion FK Krasnodar
Fakel

Krasnodar
5 - 0
Fakel

Krivtsov (53'), Spertsyan (66'), Olusegun (69', 74'), Kozlov (80')
Olaza (45+2'), Cobnan (48'), Pina (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Brahimi (23')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between FC Krasnodar and Fakel.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Krasnodar

All competitions
Last Game: Rostov 0-1 Krasnodar
Sunday, March 16 at 2pm in Russian Premier League

Fakel

All competitions
Last Game: Orenburg 1-0 Fakel
Saturday, March 15 at 9am in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 70.8%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 10.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.4%) and 3-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.

Result
FC KrasnodarDrawFakel
70.8% (5.949 5.95)19.1% (-3.191 -3.19)10.1% (-2.758 -2.76)
Both teams to score 39.86% (0.478 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.34% (5.706 5.71)50.67% (-5.704 -5.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.43% (4.822 4.82)72.57% (-4.819 -4.82)
FC Krasnodar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.91% (3.757 3.76)13.09% (-3.755 -3.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.3% (7.146 7.15)39.7% (-7.143 -7.14)
Fakel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.87% (-1.496 -1.5)54.13% (1.5 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.64% (-0.942 -0.94)87.36% (0.943 0.94)
Score Analysis
    FC Krasnodar 70.78%
    Fakel 10.1%
    Draw 19.1%
FC KrasnodarDrawFakel
2-0 @ 14.64% (0.58 0.58)
1-0 @ 14.4% (-1.39 -1.39)
3-0 @ 9.93% (1.578 1.58)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.09% (0.735 0.74)
4-0 @ 5.05% (1.329 1.33)
4-1 @ 3.1% (0.711 0.71)
5-0 @ 2.05% (0.728 0.73)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.15 0.15)
5-1 @ 1.26% (0.41 0.41)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.185 0.19)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 70.78%
1-1 @ 8.84% (-1.288 -1.29)
0-0 @ 7.09% (-1.78 -1.78)
2-2 @ 2.76% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 19.1%
0-1 @ 4.35% (-1.341 -1.34)
1-2 @ 2.71% (-0.539 -0.54)
0-2 @ 1.33% (-0.492 -0.49)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 10.1%

Head to Head
Aug 4, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 3
Fakel
0-0
Krasnodar
Brahimi (25'), Masternoy (26')
Castano (24'), Spertsyan (41'), Musaev (75')
Apr 19, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 25
Krasnodar
2-0
Fakel
Victor (60'), Cordoba (86')
Pantaleao (70')

Yurganov (45+2'), Magal (51'), Kvekveskiri (90')
Aug 25, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 6
Fakel
0-0
Krasnodar
Dolgov (56')
Spertsyan (82'), Chernikov (90+9')
Nov 5, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 16
Fakel
3-3
Krasnodar
Akbashev (11'), Kvekveskiri (72', 84')
Cordoba (29'), Banjac (43' pen.), Ionov (62')
Jul 17, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 1
Krasnodar
2-2
Fakel
Ionov (24'), Spertsyan (40')
Ionov (89')
Dashaev (10'), Akbashev (49')
Cherov (45+1'), Bozhin (80')