Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Rostov win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for FC Krasnodar in this match.