Russian Premier League | Gameweek 22

Mar 31, 2025 at 4.30pm UK

Samara Arena

Akron
2 - 3
Rostov

Bokoev (32'), Dakovac (89')
Nedelcearu (39')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Osipenko (44'), Mohebi (62'), Sako (87')
Mohebi (90+3')

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Akron Tolyatti and Rostov.

Form, Standings, Stats

Akron Tolyatti

All competitions

Last Game: Akron 1-2 CSKA
Sunday, March 16 at 10am in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Rostov

All competitions

Last Game: Rostov 0-1 Krasnodar
Sunday, March 16 at 2pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Akron Tolyatti win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.

Result
Akron Tolyatti	Draw	Rostov
30.35% ( -1.27)	26.54% ( -0.12)	43.12% ( 1.4)

Both teams to score 50.95% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.32% (

0.05)

53.68% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.83% (

0.04)

75.17% (

-0.04)

Akron Tolyatti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.65% (

-0.88)

32.35% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.14% (

-1)

68.86% (

1.01)

Rostov Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.31% (

0.74)

24.69% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.77% (

1.02)

59.23% (

-1.02)

Score Analysis

Akron Tolyatti 30.35%

Rostov 43.12%

Draw 26.53%

Akron Tolyatti	Draw	Rostov
1-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.67% Total : 30.35%	1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.53%	0-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.53% Total : 43.12%