Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Akron Tolyatti win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.