Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 20, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Gerard Houllier
Lyon3 - 2PSG
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSG 3-0 BK Hacken
Thursday, March 28 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Thursday, March 28 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
We said: Lyon Women 2-2 Paris Saint-Germain Women
PSG may have failed to win their last five games against Lyon, but they went close to claiming an away win in February's meeting, taking the lead before conceding a 90th-minute equaliser. With that game in mind, we think that PSG will do enough to hold Lyon to a draw, especially as they have avoided defeat in each of their last 24 matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Paris Saint-Germain Women had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Paris Saint-Germain Women win it was 1-2 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon Women | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain Women |
56.17% ( 0.09) | 22.42% ( 0.04) | 21.41% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.76% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
