Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Under-21s win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.33%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Liverpool Under-21s	Draw	Derby County Under-21s
51.33% ( -0.03)	20.54% ( 0.03)	28.13% ( -0)

Both teams to score 70.64% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.67% (

-0.18)

27.32% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.1% (

-0.23)

47.9% (

0.22)

Liverpool Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.72% (

-0.07)

11.27% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.12% (

-0.16)

35.88% (

0.15)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.61% (

-0.1)

20.38% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.2% (

-0.15)

52.8% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Liverpool Under-21s 51.33%

Derby County Under-21s 28.13%

Draw 20.54%

Liverpool Under-21s	Draw	Derby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.33%	1-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.67% Total : 20.54%	1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.13%