Major League Soccer

Sep 21, 2024 at 7pm UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
1 - 1
Inter Miami

Sands (90+5')
Rodriguez (71'), Parks (80'), Tanasijevic (86'), Parks (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Campana (75')
Fray (64'), Allen (65'), Alba (67'), Aviles (68'), Suarez (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: NY City 1-5 Philadelphia
Thursday, September 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Inter Miami

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Atlanta 2-2 Inter Miami
Thursday, September 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.37%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 21.36% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.64%) and 1-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (5.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Inter Miami
58.37% ( -0.47)	20.26% ( -0.06)	21.36% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 63.46% (

1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.73% (

1.03)

33.27% (

-1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.96% (

1.17)

55.03% (

-1.18)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.69% (

0.19)

11.31% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.04% (

0.42)

35.96% (

-0.43)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.56% (

1.06)

28.44% (

-1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.8% (

1.32)

64.2% (

-1.32)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 58.37%

Inter Miami 21.36%

Draw 20.26%

New York City FC	Draw	Inter Miami
2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 1% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.96% Total : 58.37%	1-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.35% Total : 20.26%	1-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.31% Total : 21.36%