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Lionel Messi
26'
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Lionel Messi
26'
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Lionel Messi
30'
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Lionel Messi
30'
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Tomas Aviles
32'
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Tomas Aviles
32'
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Gerardo Martino
33'
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Gerardo Martino
33'
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Luis Suarez
75'
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Luis Suarez
75'
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Lionel Messi
87'
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Lionel Messi
87'
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Sergio Busquets
90'+5'
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Sergio Busquets
90'+5'
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Luis Suarez
90'+8'
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Luis Suarez
90'+8'
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Mikael Uhre
2'
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Mikael Uhre
2'
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Jack Elliott
56'
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Jack Elliott
56'
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Quinn Sullivan
72'
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Quinn Sullivan
72'
Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 55.53%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.89%) and 3-1 (6.74%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Inter Miami Goals
Philadelphia Union Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 6.89% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.4%
3-0 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.47%
5-1 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.15%
4-3 @ 1.12%
5-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 55.53%
2-2 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.08%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 20.61%
0-1 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-2 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 23.86%
Head to Head
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Mikael Uhre
3'
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Mikael Uhre
3'
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Alejandro Bedoya
34'
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Alejandro Bedoya
34'
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Kai Wagner
64'
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Kai Wagner
64'
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Leon Flach
83'
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Leon Flach
83'
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David Ruiz
32'
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David Ruiz
32'
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Julian Gressel
47'
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Julian Gressel
47'
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Tomas Aviles
66'
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Tomas Aviles
66'
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David Ruiz
69'
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David Ruiz
69'
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Mikael Uhre
82'
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Leonardo Campana
82'
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Jordi Alba
83'
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Jordi Alba
83'
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Tomas Aviles
84'
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Tomas Aviles
84'
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Leonardo Afonso
90'+4'
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Leonardo Afonso
90'+4'
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Jakob Glesnes
14'
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Jakob Glesnes
14'
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Julian Carranza
39'
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Julian Carranza
39'
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Leon Flach
45'+4'
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Leon Flach
45'+4'
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David Ruiz
68'
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David Ruiz
68'
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Robert Taylor
50'
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Robert Taylor
50'
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Corentin Jean
32'
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Robert Taylor
77'
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Bryce Duke
45'+3'
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Gonzalo Higuain
82'
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Damion Lowe
88'
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Ryan Sailor
90'+6'
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Daniel Gazdag
26'
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Cory Burke
66'
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Alejandro Bedoya
79'
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Leon Flach
19'
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Bryce Duke
60'
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Robbie Robinson
71'
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Olivier Mbaizo
56'
-
Kacper Przybylko
85'
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