Major League Soccer

Sep 15, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Inter Miami CF Stadium

Inter Miami
3 - 1
Philadelphia

Messi (26', 26', 30', 30'), Suarez (90+8', 90+8')
Aviles (32'), Aviles (32'), Martino (33'), Martino (33'), Suarez (75'), Suarez (75'), Messi (87'), Messi (87'), Busquets (90+5'), Busquets (90+5')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Uhre (2', 2')
Elliott (56'), Elliott (56'), Sullivan (72'), Sullivan (72')

Reaction

Inter Miami CF forward Lionel Messi looks on during the second half against Orlando City at Chase Stadium on March 2, 2024

Lionel Messi sets new MLS record during his Inter Miami return

Inter Miami star Lionel Messi marks his return from an ankle injury with a record-breaking display against Philadelphia Union.

Sep 15, 10:44

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-4 Inter Miami
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 55.53%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.89%) and 3-1 (6.74%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter Miami	Draw	Philadelphia Union
55.53% ( -0.01)	20.61% ( 0)	23.86% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 65.75% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.19% (

-0)

31.8% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.66% (

-0)

53.33% (

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.38% (

-0)

11.61% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.38% (

-0.01)

36.61% (

0.01)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.39% (

25.61% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.5% (

0.01)

60.49% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Inter Miami 55.53%

Philadelphia Union 23.86%

Draw 20.61%

Inter Miami	Draw	Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.39% 2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.4% 3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.59% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.63% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.47% 5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.15% 4-3 @ 1.12% 5-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.91% Total : 55.53%	1-1 @ 8.72% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.97% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.08% Other @ 0.43% Total : 20.61%	1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.05% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.9% 0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.99% 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 23.86%