Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Jul 21, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
Chicago Fire
  • Matias Rojas 6' goal
  • Matias Rojas 6' goal
  • Robert Taylor 39' yellowcard
  • Robert Taylor 39' yellowcard
  • Jordi Alba 75' goal
  • Jordi Alba 75' goal
  • Ian Fray 85' yellowcard
  • Ian Fray 85' yellowcard
  • goal Rafael Czichos 74'
  • goal Rafael Czichos 74'
  • yellowcard Brian Gutierrez 88'
  • yellowcard Brian Gutierrez 88'

Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 18, 2024 12.30am
Inter Miami 3 - 1 Toronto
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Lionel Messi

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 18, 2024 12.30am
Cincinnati 0 - 1 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Hugo Cuypers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami in this match.

Result

Inter Miami 52.44% ▼ (-2.97)
Draw 21.96% ▲ (+1.34)
Chicago Fire 25.6% ▲ (+1.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.74% ▼ (-3.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.4% ▼ (-4.86)
Under 2.5 36.6% ▲ (+4.86)
Over 3.5 41.25% ▼ (-5.49)
Under 3.5 58.75% ▲ (+5.50)
Over 4.5 23.15% ▼ (-4.66)
Under 4.5 76.85% ▲ (+4.67)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 85.86% ▼ (-2.52)
Under 0.5 14.15% ▲ (+2.52)
Over 1.5 58.19% ▼ (-5.16)
Under 1.5 41.81% ▲ (+5.17)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 73.07% ▼ (-1.44)
Under 0.5 26.93% ▲ (+1.45)
Over 1.5 37.74% ▼ (-1.93)
Under 1.5 62.26% ▲ (+1.94)

Score analysis

Inter Miami 52.44%
Draw 21.96%
Chicago Fire 25.6%
Inter Miami
2-1 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.18)
1-0 @ 7.45% ▲ (+1.08)
2-0 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.43)
3-1 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.50)
3-0 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.18)
3-2 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.52)
4-1 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.58)
4-0 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.33)
4-2 @ 2% ▼ (-0.48)
5-1 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.37)
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 52.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.78% ▲ (+1.06)
2-2 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.85)
3-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.31)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.96%
Chicago Fire
1-2 @ 6.41% ▲ (+0.46)
0-1 @ 5% ▲ (+0.95)
0-2 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.51)
1-3 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.18)
0-3 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 25.6%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Oct 5, 2023 1.30am
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT Soldier Field
Inter Miami
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 49' goal
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 49' goal
  • Jonathan Dean 52' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Dean 52' yellowcard
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 62' goal
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 62' goal
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 65' goal
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 65' goal
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 73' goal
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 73' goal
  • yellowcard Sergio Busquets 42'
  • yellowcard Sergio Busquets 42'
  • yellowcard Gerardo Daniel Martino 43'
  • yellowcard Gerardo Martino 43'
  • goal Josef Martinez 53'
  • goal Josef Martinez 53'
  • yellowcard Facundo Farias 90'
  • yellowcard Facundo Farias 90'
Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
Chicago Fire
  • Franco Negri 45'+3' goal
  • Nicolas Stefanelli 76' goal
  • goal Chris Mueller 30'
  • goal Carlos Teran 38'
  • goal Kei Kamara 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Sep 11, 2022 1.00am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Inter Miami
  • Jhon Duran 40' goal
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 64' goal
  • Jhon Duran 87' goal
  • goal Gonzalo Higuain 77'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 1
Inter Miami
Feb 26, 2022 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Chicago Fire
  • DeAndre Yedlin 53' yellowcard
  • Damion Lowe 74' yellowcard
  • Jairo Quinteros 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jhon Duran 87'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 27
Inter Miami
Aug 19, 2021 12.30am
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Chicago Fire
  • Indiana Vassilev 34' goal
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 50' yellowcard
  • Robbie Robinson 62' goal
  • Robbie Robinson 74' yellowcard
  • Julian Carranza 84' yellowcard
  • Rodolfo Pizarro 90'+3' goal
  • goal Francisco Calvo 40'
  • goal Luka Stojanovic 48'
  • yellowcard Fabian Herbers 60'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 8
Chicago Fire
May 22, 2021 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Inter Miami
  • Alvaro Medran 9' yellowcard
  • Luka Stojanovic 70' goal
  • Chinonso Offor 90' yellowcard
  • Boris Sekulic 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 23'
  • yellowcard Victor Ulloa 31'
  • yellowcard Robbie Robinson 61'
  • yellowcard Ryan Shawcross 68'
  • yellowcard Blaise Matuidi 68'
  • yellowcard Jorge Figal 87'

Form Data

Inter Miami 3 - 1 Toronto
Cincinnati 6 - 1 Inter Miami
Charlotte FC 1 - 2 Inter Miami
Nashville 1 - 2 Inter Miami
Inter Miami 2 - 1 Columbus Crew
Philadelphia 1 - 2 Inter Miami
Cincinnati 0 - 1 Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire 0 - 0 NY City
Earthquakes 1 - 0 Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire 4 - 3 Philadelphia
Seattle 2 - 1 Chicago Fire
Orlando City 4 - 2 Chicago Fire