Major League Soccer

Jul 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Inter Miami CF Stadium

Inter Miami
2 - 1
Chicago Fire

Rojas (6', 6'), Alba (75', 75')
Taylor (39'), Taylor (39'), Fray (85'), Fray (85')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Czichos (74', 74')
Gutierrez (88'), Gutierrez (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Toronto
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 0-1 Chicago Fire
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami in this match.

Result
Inter Miami	Draw	Chicago Fire
52.44% ( -2.96)	21.96% ( 1.34)	25.6% ( 1.63)

Both teams to score 62.74% (

-3.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.4% (

-4.85)

36.6% (

4.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.25% (

-5.49)

58.75% (

5.49)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.86% (

-2.51)

14.15% (

2.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.19% (

-5.16)

41.81% (

5.17)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.07% (

-1.44)

26.93% (

1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.74% (

-1.93)

62.26% (

1.94)

Score Analysis

Inter Miami 52.44%

Chicago Fire 25.6%

Draw 21.96%

Inter Miami	Draw	Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 7.45% ( 1.07) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.5) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.51) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.57) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.33) 4-2 @ 2% ( -0.48) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.37) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.23) Other @ 3.61% Total : 52.44%	1-1 @ 9.78% ( 1.06) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.85) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.96%	1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.45) 0-1 @ 5% ( 0.95) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.51) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 25.6%