Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2024 12.30am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Diego Gomez 43' goal
  • Diego Gomez 43' goal
  • Federico Redondo 53' goal
  • Federico Redondo 53' goal
  • Federico Redondo 59' goal
  • Federico Redondo 59' goal
  • Federico Redondo 62' yellowcard
  • Federico Redondo 62' yellowcard
  • Ian Fray 87' yellowcard
  • Ian Fray 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Derrick Etienne 52'
  • yellowcard Derrick Etienne 52'
  • goal Derrick Etienne 80'
  • goal Derrick Etienne 80'

Inter Miami vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 7, 2024 12.30am
Cincinnati 6 - 1 Inter Miami
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Lionel Messi

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 14, 2024 12.30am
Toronto 2 - 1 Philadelphia
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Federico Bernardeschi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 58.28%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 21.12% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 1-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Inter Miami in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Inter Miami.

Result

Inter Miami 58.28% (+1.51)
Draw 20.59% (-0.54)
Toronto 21.12% (-0.97)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.83% (+0.50)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.78% (+1.29)
Under 2.5 35.22% (-1.29)
Over 3.5 42.76% (+1.43)
Under 3.5 57.23% (-1.43)
Over 4.5 24.4% (+1.18)
Under 4.5 75.6% (-1.18)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 88.05% (+0.85)
Under 0.5 11.95% (-0.85)
Over 1.5 62.67% (+1.76)
Under 1.5 37.33% (-1.76)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 70.22% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 29.78% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 34.15% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 65.85% (+0.14)

Score analysis

Inter Miami 58.28%
Draw 20.59%
Toronto 21.12%
Inter Miami
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.03% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.56% (-0.25)
3-1 @ 6.89% (+0.21)
3-0 @ 5.69% (+0.19)
3-2 @ 4.17% (+0.12)
4-1 @ 3.66% (+0.23)
4-0 @ 3.02% (+0.20)
4-2 @ 2.22% (+0.13)
5-1 @ 1.56% (+0.15)
5-0 @ 1.28% (+0.13)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 58.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.16% (-0.33)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 3.56% (-0.24)
3-3 @ 1.69% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 20.59%
Toronto
1-2 @ 5.55% (-0.22)
0-1 @ 4.31% (-0.31)
0-2 @ 2.61% (-0.20)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 21.12%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Facundo Farias 45'+3' goal
  • Facundo Farias 45'+3' goal
  • Robert Taylor 54' goal
  • Robert Taylor 54' goal
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 73' goal
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 73' goal
  • Robert Taylor 87' goal
  • Robert Taylor 87' goal
Major League Soccer
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
  • Jonathan Osorio 48' goal
  • Mark-Anthony Kaye 69' goal
Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2022 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Gonzalo Higuain 86'
Major League Soccer
Aug 21, 2022 1.00am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Jean Mota 24' goal
  • Ariel Lassiter 44' goal
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 28'
  • yellowcard Federico Bernardeschi 56'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 40
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Federico Higuain 10' goal
  • Federico Higuain 11' yellowcard
  • Christian Makoun 45' goal
  • Eriq Zavaleta 61' goal
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 75' yellowcard
Major League Soccer Gameweek 32
Sep 15, 2021 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Chris Mavinga 31' yellowcard
  • Kemar Lawrence 37' redcard
  • Richie Laryea 61' yellowcard
  • Marco Delgado 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gregore 53'
  • yellowcard Robbie Robinson 68'
  • yellowcard Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 72'
  • goal Christian Makoun 90'+5'