Major League Soccer

Sep 1, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Red Bull Arena

NY Red Bulls
0 - 2
Philadelphia

Schwarz (56'), Schwarz (56')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Uhre (4', 4'), Baribo (14', 14')
Baribo (55'), Baribo (55'), Blake (76'), Blake (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, August 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Philadelphia 0-1 Columbus Crew
Thursday, August 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 16.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	Philadelphia Union
61.95% ( 0.13)	21.06% ( -0.06)	16.99% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 52.48% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.05% (

0.16)

43.95% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.66% (

0.16)

66.33% (

-0.16)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.36% (

0.09)

13.64% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.19% (

0.18)

40.81% (

-0.18)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.77% (

0.01)

39.22% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.06% (

0.01)

75.93% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 61.93%

Philadelphia Union 16.99%

Draw 21.06%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 61.93%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.06%	0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 16.99%