Major League Soccer
Jul 21, 2024 12.30am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field
  • Lewis Morgan 7' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 7' goal
  • Kyle Duncan 52' goal
  • Kyle Duncan 52' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 59' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 59' goal
  • Dylan Nealis 79' yellowcard
  • Dylan Nealis 79' yellowcard
  • goal Corey Baird 67'
  • goal Corey Baird 67'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 88'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 88'
  • yellowcard Ian Murphy 90'
  • yellowcard Ian Murphy 90'

New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 18, 2024 12.30am
NY Red Bulls 2 - 2 Montreal
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Lewis Morgan

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 18, 2024 12.30am
Cincinnati 0 - 1 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Luciano Acosta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result

New York Red Bulls 46.15% (-0.96)
Draw 24.88% (+0.31)
FC Cincinnati 28.97% (+0.66)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.44% (-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.51% (-0.94)
Under 2.5 47.49% (+0.94)
Over 3.5 30.3% (-0.88)
Under 3.5 69.7% (+0.88)
Over 4.5 14.88% (-0.62)
Under 4.5 85.12% (+0.62)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 79.37% (-0.79)
Under 0.5 20.63% (+0.79)
Over 1.5 46.81% (-1.26)
Under 1.5 53.19% (+1.27)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 69.85% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 30.16% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 33.7% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 66.31% (+0.02)

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 46.15%
Draw 24.88%
FC Cincinnati 28.97%
New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 9.82% (+0.15)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 7.75% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.11)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.12)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 46.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.77% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 6.22% (+0.24)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.88%
FC Cincinnati
0-1 @ 7.46% (+0.29)
1-2 @ 7.06% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 4.47% (+0.17)
1-3 @ 2.82% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.79% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 28.97%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Nippert Stadium
  • Yuya Kubo 3' goal
  • Yuya Kubo 3' goal
  • Obinna Nwobodo 32' yellowcard
  • Obinna Nwobodo 32' yellowcard
  • Matt Miazga 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Matt Miazga 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Luca Orellano 74' yellowcard
  • Luca Orellano 74' yellowcard
  • goal Frankie Amaya 19'
  • goal Frankie Amaya 19'
  • goal Dante Vanzeir 60'
  • goal Dante Vanzeir 60'
  • yellowcard Frankie Amaya 70'
  • yellowcard Frankie Amaya 70'
  • yellowcard Serge Ngoma 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Serge Ngoma 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
Nov 10, 2023 11.00pm
Nippert Stadium
Major League Soccer
Nov 4, 2023 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
ET Red Bull Arena, Harrison
  • Troy Lesesne 0' redcard
  • Troy Lesesne 40' yellowcard
  • Tom Barlow 41' yellowcard
  • Tom Barlow 45' goal
  • Andres Reyes 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Arias 39'
  • goal Aaron Boupendza 75'
  • yellowcard Yerson Mosquera 75'
  • yellowcard Matt Miazga 98'
  • yellowcard Matt Miazga 90'+10'
Major League Soccer
Oct 30, 2023 12.00am
3
0
HT : 4 0
FT Nippert Stadium
  • Alvaro Barreal 23' goal
  • Alvaro Barreal 23' goal
  • Matt Miazga 33' yellowcard
  • Matt Miazga 33' yellowcard
  • Luciano Acosta 35' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 35' goal
  • Alvaro Barreal 52' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Barreal 52' yellowcard
  • Aaron Boupendza 74' yellowcard
  • Aaron Boupendza 74' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Barreal 89' goal
  • Alvaro Barreal 89' goal
  • yellowcard Elias Manoel 76'
  • yellowcard Elias Manoel 76'
  • yellowcard Dylan Nealis 89'
  • yellowcard Frankie Amaya 90'
  • yellowcard Frankie Amaya 90'
Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 4
FT Nippert Stadium
  • Ray Gaddis 27' yellowcard
  • Ray Gaddis 27' yellowcard
  • Alvas Powell 49' yellowcard
  • Alvas Powell 49' yellowcard
  • Luciano Acosta 68' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 68' goal
  • Nick Hagglund 73' yellowcard
  • Nick Hagglund 73' yellowcard
  • Malik Pinto 82' yellowcard
  • Malik Pinto 82' yellowcard
  • Alvas Powell 88' redcard
  • Alvas Powell 88' redcard
  • Alvaro Barreal 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Barreal 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Luciano Acosta 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Luciano Acosta 90'+10' yellowcard
  • goal Frankie Amaya 12'
  • goal Frankie Amaya 12'
  • goal Elias Manoel 17'
  • goal Elias Manoel 17'
  • yellowcard Troy Lesesne 28'
  • yellowcard Troy Lesesne 28'
  • yellowcard Andres Reyes 53'
  • yellowcard Andres Reyes 53'
  • yellowcard Carlos Coronel 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Carlos Coronel 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Luciano Acosta 90'+11'
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2023 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Omir Fernandez 28' goal
  • Omir Fernandez 28' goal
  • goal Luciano Acosta 80'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 80'
  • goal Obinna Nwobodo 90'+3'
  • goal Obinna Nwobodo 90'+3'