Major League Soccer

Jul 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK

MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field

NY Red Bulls
3 - 1
Cincinnati

Morgan (7', 7', 59', 59'), Duncan (52', 52')
Nealis (79'), Nealis (79')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Baird (67', 67')
Yedlin (88'), Yedlin (88'), Murphy (90'), Murphy (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-2 Montreal
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 0-1 Chicago Fire
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	FC Cincinnati
46.15% ( -0.96)	24.88% ( 0.31)	28.97% ( 0.65)

Both teams to score 55.44% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.51% (

-0.94)

47.49% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.3% (

-0.87)

69.7% (

0.87)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.37% (

-0.79)

20.63% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.81% (

-1.26)

53.19% (

1.26)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.85% (

-0.01)

30.16% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.7% (

-0.01)

66.31% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 46.15%

FC Cincinnati 28.97%

Draw 24.88%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	FC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.7% Total : 46.15%	1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.88%	0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.15% Total : 28.97%