Philadelphia Union
Leagues Cup | Round of 32
Aug 10, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Talen Energy Stadium
Montreal Impact

Philadelphia
2 - 0
Montreal

Baribo (45+1', 45+1', 90+7', 90+7')
Wagner (68'), Wagner (68'), Mbaizo (84'), Mbaizo (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Leagues Cup clash between Philadelphia Union and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Cruz Azul (3-5 pen.)
Monday, August 5 at 1am in Leagues Cup

CF Montreal

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 2-3 Montreal
Wednesday, July 31 at 12am in Leagues Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 57.6%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (5.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawCF Montreal
57.6% (0.427 0.43)21.15% (-0.087 -0.09)21.25% (-0.342 -0.34)
Both teams to score 59.95% (-0.213 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.24% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)37.76% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)60% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.05% (0.11 0.11)12.95% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.58% (0.227 0.23)39.42% (-0.228 -0.23)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.87% (-0.333 -0.33)31.12% (0.332 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.55% (-0.391 -0.39)67.45% (0.39 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 57.6%
    CF Montreal 21.25%
    Draw 21.15%
Philadelphia UnionDrawCF Montreal
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.42% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
1-0 @ 8.24% (0.052000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.74% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.42% (0.034 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.93% (0.055 0.06)
4-2 @ 2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 57.6%
1-1 @ 9.62% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.03% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.15%
1-2 @ 5.61% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-1 @ 4.71% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 21.25%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Montreal

Philadelphia Union
78.6%
Draw
7.1%
CF Montreal
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2024 12.30am
Montreal
4-2
Philadelphia
Martinez (36'), Duke (56'), Yankov (89'), Ruan (90+2')
Ruan (90+4')
Sullivan (29'), Bueno (41')
Glesnes (90+5')
> Preview
Jun 2, 2024 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-2
Montreal
Gazdag (56' pen.), Uhre (58')
Gazdag (39')
Elliott (63')
Sunusi (1'), Piette (66')
Campbell (28'), Yankov (41')
Lassiter (45')
> Preview
Jun 4, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-0
Montreal
Carranza (12', 61'), Uhre (36')
Andres Martinez (88')

Campbell (31'), Orri Thorkelsson (76'), Miljevic (88')
> Preview
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
Montreal
3-2
Philadelphia
Quioto (3' pen., 90+8'), Offor (90')
Uhre (46', 60')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2022 8pm
Philadelphia
1-1
Montreal
Carranza (21' pen.)
Bedoya (55'), Andres Martinez (82'), Wagner (90+1')
Kamara (59')
Waterman (61'), Miller (90'), Bassong (90+3')
> Preview