Major League Soccer

Jul 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Subaru Park

Philadelphia
3 - 0
Nashville

Gazdag (10', 10', 39', 39', 89', 89')
Lowe (2'), Lowe (2'), Uhre (20'), Uhre (20'), Elliott (61'), Elliott (61')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Muyl (60'), Muyl (60'), Bauer (67'), Bauer (67'), Godoy (76'), Godoy (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 5-1 New England
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 0-3 Orlando City
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 19.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	Nashville SC
58.34% ( 3.43)	22.05% ( -0.88)	19.61% ( -2.55)

Both teams to score 54.15% (

-0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.83% (

0.59)

44.17% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.45% (

0.57)

66.55% (

-0.57)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.17% (

1.35)

14.83% (

-1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.86% (

2.52)

43.14% (

-2.52)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.58% (

-2.18)

36.42% (

2.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.79% (

-2.27)

73.2% (

2.27)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 58.34%

Nashville SC 19.61%

Draw 22.05%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	Nashville SC
1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.65) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.34) 3-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.68) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.29) 4-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.45) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.16) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.69% Total : 58.34%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.4) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.05%	0-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.48) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.54) 0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.43) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.21) Other @ 1.74% Total : 19.61%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Nashville

Philadelphia Union

76.9%

Draw

23.1%

Nashville SC

0.0%

Head to Head

Apr 7, 2024 1.30am

Nashville

1-2

Philadelphia

Surridge (42')
Godoy (84')

Carranza (62'), Gazdag (90')

> Preview

Oct 8, 2023 12.30am

Philadelphia

0-0

Nashville

Andres Martinez (24'), Glesnes (90')

Maher (18'), Zimmerman (72')

> Preview

Jul 13, 2023 1.30am

Nashville

0-2

Philadelphia

Lovitz (39'), Leal (43'), Bunbury (71')
Lovitz (81'), Moore (90+5')

Gazdag (40' pen., 84')
Curtin (40'), Wagner (44'), Gazdag (84')
Carranza (90+5')

May 1, 2022 9pm

Gameweek 3

Nashville

1-1

Philadelphia

Leal (85' pen.)
Lovitz (33'), Muyl (37'), Davis (49'), Leal (76')

Uhre (66')
Wagner (60'), Andres Martinez (62'), Blake (84')

> Preview

Nov 28, 2021 10.30pm

Philadelphia

1-1

Nashville

(Aggregate 1-1 | Philadelphia win 2-0 on penalties)

Gazdag (45+2')

Williams (38')
Leal (90+5')

> Preview

Form Guide

Philadelphia 5-1 New England

Toronto 2-1 Philadelphia

Philadelphia 0-0 NY Red Bulls

Chicago Fire 4-3 Philadelphia

Montreal 4-2 Philadelphia

Philadelphia 0-2 Charlotte FC

Nashville 0-3 Orlando City

DC United 2-1 Nashville

Portland 4-1 Nashville

Columbus Crew 2-0 Nashville

Nashville 1-2 Inter Miami

Nashville 1-0 NY City

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

Eastern Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union Philadelphia	14	8	3	3	24	12	12	27
2	Columbus Crew	14	7	5	2	22	18	4	26
3	FC Cincinnati Cincinnati	15	8	2	5	21	21	0	26
4	Inter Miami Inter Miami	13	7	3	3	26	19	7	24
5	New York City FC NY City	15	7	3	5	20	17	3	24
6	Nashville SC Nashville	14	6	4	4	24	17	7	22
7	Charlotte FC Charlotte FC	14	7	1	6	22	18	4	22
8	Chicago Fire	15	6	4	5	28	28	0	22
9	Orlando City	14	5	6	3	25	18	7	21
10	New York Red Bulls NY Red Bulls	14	6	3	5	21	15	6	21
11	New England Revolution New England	13	6	3	4	15	10	5	21
12	DC United	14	4	4	6	15	26	-11	16
13	Toronto	14	3	4	7	16	19	-3	13
14	Atlanta United Atlanta	15	3	4	8	17	27	-10	13
15	CF Montreal Montreal	14	1	3	10	7	25	-18	6

Western Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver	13	8	4	1	24	10	14	28
2	Minnesota United Minnesota Utd	14	8	4	2	25	13	12	28
3	Portland Timbers Portland	13	6	4	3	23	20	3	22
4	Seattle Sounders Seattle	14	5	5	4	23	18	5	20
5	Los Angeles FC Los Angeles	13	5	4	4	21	20	1	19
6	Colorado Rapids Colorado	13	5	4	4	16	18	-2	19
7	San Jose Earthquakes Earthquakes	14	5	2	7	27	22	5	17
8	Dallas	14	4	5	5	15	22	-7	17
9	Austin FC Austin	14	5	2	7	8	17	-9	17
10	St Louis City	14	3	4	7	11	18	-7	13
11	Houston Dynamo Houston	14	3	4	7	14	22	-8	13
12	Real Salt Lake Salt Lake	14	4	1	9	13	21	-8	13
13	Sporting Kansas City Kansas	13	3	2	8	19	23	-4	11
14	Los Angeles Galaxy LA Galaxy	13	1	4	8	12	29	-17	7
15	San Diego FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0