Major League Soccer

Jul 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Subaru Park

Philadelphia
3 - 0
Nashville

Gazdag (10', 10', 39', 39', 89', 89')
Lowe (2'), Lowe (2'), Uhre (20'), Uhre (20'), Elliott (61'), Elliott (61')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Muyl (60'), Muyl (60'), Bauer (67'), Bauer (67'), Godoy (76'), Godoy (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 5-1 New England
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 0-3 Orlando City
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 19.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	Nashville SC
58.34% ( 3.43)	22.05% ( -0.88)	19.61% ( -2.55)

Both teams to score 54.15% (

-0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.83% (

0.59)

44.17% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.45% (

0.57)

66.55% (

-0.57)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.17% (

1.35)

14.83% (

-1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.86% (

2.52)

43.14% (

-2.52)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.58% (

-2.18)

36.42% (

2.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.79% (

-2.27)

73.2% (

2.27)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 58.34%

Nashville SC 19.61%

Draw 22.05%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	Nashville SC
1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.65) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.34) 3-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.68) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.29) 4-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.45) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.16) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.69% Total : 58.34%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.4) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.05%	0-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.48) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.54) 0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.43) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.21) Other @ 1.74% Total : 19.61%