Major League Soccer

Jul 18, 2024 at 1.30am UK

First Tennessee Park

Nashville
0 - 3
Orlando City

Muyl (18'), Muyl (18'), Bauer (29'), Bauer (29'), Ajago (88'), Ajago (88')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Araujo (19', 19'), Muyl (41' og., 41' og.), Enrique (81', 81')
Dan ThorÂhallsÂson (21'), Dan ThorÂhallsÂson (21'), Torres (64'), Torres (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 2-1 Nashville
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: New England 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	Orlando City
46.75% ( -0)	24.08% ( -0.06)	29.17% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 58.27% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.18% (

0.28)

43.82% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.79% (

0.28)

66.21% (

-0.28)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.1% (

0.11)

18.9% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.61% (

0.19)

50.39% (

-0.19)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.85% (

0.18)

28.15% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.17% (

0.23)

63.83% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 46.75%

Orlando City 29.17%

Draw 24.08%

Nashville SC	Draw	Orlando City
2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.31% Total : 46.75%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.08%	1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 29.17%