Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Orlando City |
| 40.45% ( | 24.48% ( | 35.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.58% ( | 43.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.18% ( | 65.82% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.48% ( | 21.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.43% ( | 54.57% ( |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% ( | 24.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.33% ( | 58.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Orlando City |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 4-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.58% Total : 40.45% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0-0 @ 5.23% ( 3-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0-2 @ 5.23% ( 1-3 @ 3.79% ( 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0-3 @ 2.47% ( 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 2-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 35.07% |