Major League Soccer

Jul 18, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Talen Energy Stadium

Philadelphia
5 - 1
New England

Baribo (29', 29', 44', 44', 52', 52'), Glesnes (39', 39'), Sullivan (84', 84')

FT(HT: 6-0)

Harkes (50', 50')
Panayotou (66'), Panayotou (66')

Reaction

Philadelphia Union's Cavan Sullivan warms up during the match on July 17, 2024

"A generational talent" - 14-year-old future Man City signing breaks MLS record for Philadelphia Union

Future Man City signing Cavan Sullivan, 14, breaks a Major League Soccer record in Philadelphia Union's 5-1 victory over New England Revolution on Wednesday.

Jul 18, 08:52

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 2-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: New England 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	New England Revolution
53.98% ( 0.8)	21.89% ( -0.13)	24.13% ( -0.67)

Both teams to score 61.29% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.24% (

-0.08)

37.76% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.99% (

-0.09)

60.01% (

0.08)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.94% (

0.23)

14.06% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.36% (

0.45)

41.64% (

-0.45)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.32% (

-0.57)

28.68% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.5% (

-0.72)

64.5% (

0.72)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 53.98%

New England Revolution 24.13%

Draw 21.89%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	New England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.51% Total : 53.98%	1-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.89%	1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.38% Total : 24.13%