Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	Cruz Azul
37.01% ( 1.85)	24.58% ( -0.25)	38.42% ( -1.6)

Both teams to score 59.31% (

1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.34% (

1.38)

43.66% (

-1.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.95% (

1.34)

66.06% (

-1.33)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.65% (

1.65)

23.35% (

-1.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.68% (

2.34)

57.32% (

-2.34)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.38% (

-0.19)

22.63% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.75% (

-0.29)

56.25% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 37.01%

Cruz Azul 38.42%

Draw 24.58%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	Cruz Azul
2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.16% Total : 37.01%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.32) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.58%	1-2 @ 8.49% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.53) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.43) 1-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.42%