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Columbus Crew3 - 1Philadelphia
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, August 17 at 11pm in Leagues Cup
for
Sunday, August 18 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
for
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 67.53%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 14.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
67.53% ( 0.05) | 18.37% ( -0.02) | 14.1% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.88% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.62% ( 0.04) | 37.38% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.41% ( 0.05) | 59.59% ( -0.05) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.82% ( 0.02) | 10.17% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.58% ( 0.06) | 33.42% ( -0.06) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.1% ( -0.01) | 38.9% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.37% ( -0.01) | 75.63% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 2-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 3.91% Total : 67.52% | 1-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.37% | 1-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.76% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 14.1% |
How you voted: Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia
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