FC Cincinnati
Leagues Cup | Round of 16
Aug 14, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Dr. DY Patil Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Cincinnati
2 - 4
Philadelphia

Bucha (66', 66'), Yedlin (80', 80')
Robinson (43'), Robinson (43')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Uhre (4', 52', 52'), Baribo (61', 61', 81', 81'), Sullivan (84', 84')
Wagner (90+2'), Wagner (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Leagues Cup clash between FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-1 Santos Laguna (6-5 pen.)
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-0 Montreal
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawPhiladelphia Union
62.13%20.05%17.81%
Both teams to score 57.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.13%37.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.88%60.12%
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.29%11.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.19%36.81%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.38%34.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.66%71.34%
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 62.13%
    Philadelphia Union 17.81%
    Draw 20.05%
FC CincinnatiDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.89%
2-0 @ 9.32%
1-0 @ 8.69%
3-1 @ 7.07%
3-0 @ 6.67%
4-1 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 3.75%
4-0 @ 3.58%
4-2 @ 2.01%
5-1 @ 1.63%
5-0 @ 1.53%
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 62.13%
1-1 @ 9.22%
2-2 @ 5.25%
0-0 @ 4.05%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.05%
1-2 @ 4.89%
0-1 @ 4.3%
0-2 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 1.86%
1-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 17.81%

Head to Head
Jun 20, 2024 12.45am
Cincinnati
4-3
Philadelphia
Kelsy (29'), Acosta (49' pen., 90+10'), Orellano (60')
Keller (6')
Baribo (43', 90+1'), Bueno (55')
Wagner (12'), Elliott (12'), McGlynn (81')
> Preview
Nov 26, 2023 1am
Cincinnati
1-0
Philadelphia
Mosquera (90+4')
Gaddis (30'), Boupendza (76')

Lowe (11'), Carranza (51')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-2
Cincinnati
Andres Martinez (23'), Gazdag (37' pen.)
Elliott (19'), Gazdag (21'), Lowe (42'), Carranza (63'), Wagner (74'), Baribo (85')
Elliott (90+4')
Boupendza (49'), Vazquez (76')
Miazga (18'), Celentano (35'), Mosquera (36'), Hagglund (45+4')
Mosquera (83')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-0
Philadelphia
Acosta (69' pen.)
> Preview
Oct 21, 2022 1am
Conference Semi-Finals
Philadelphia
1-0
Cincinnati
Flach (59')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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