Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.