FC Cincinnati
Leagues Cup | Group Stage
Aug 6, 2024 at 1am UK
Dr. DY Patil Stadium
New York City

Cincinnati
4 - 2
NY City

Bucha (79', 79'), Rodrigo Asad (82', 82'), Kubo (86', 86'), Santos (89', 89')
Nwobodo (78'), Nwobodo (78')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Rodriguez (25', 25'), Mijatovic (61', 61')
Fernandez (33'), Fernandez (33'), Wolf (90+3'), Wolf (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Leagues Cup clash between FC Cincinnati and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Queretaro
Friday, August 2 at 1am in Leagues Cup

New York City FC

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last Game: NY City 0-0 Queretaro (4-3 pen.)
Monday, July 29 at 1am in Leagues Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 54.86%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 23.1% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York City FC
54.86% (2.252 2.25)22.04% (-0.415 -0.41)23.1% (-1.836 -1.84)
Both teams to score 59.45% (-0.754 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)39.61% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.04% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)61.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.59% (0.73999999999999 0.74)14.41% (-0.74 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.67% (1.411 1.41)42.33% (-1.41 -1.41)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46% (-1.495 -1.5)30.54% (1.495 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.24% (-1.812 -1.81)66.76% (1.813 1.81)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 54.86%
    New York City FC 23.1%
    Draw 22.04%
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.108 0.11)
1-0 @ 8.53% (0.223 0.22)
2-0 @ 8.26% (0.423 0.42)
3-1 @ 6.33% (0.231 0.23)
3-0 @ 5.33% (0.403 0.4)
3-2 @ 3.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.06% (0.188 0.19)
4-0 @ 2.58% (0.256 0.26)
4-2 @ 1.82% (0.039 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.102 0.1)
5-0 @ 1% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 54.86%
1-1 @ 10.11% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 4.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.04%
1-2 @ 6% (-0.348 -0.35)
0-1 @ 5.22% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-2 @ 3.1% (-0.267 -0.27)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.245 -0.25)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.171 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.162 -0.16)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 23.1%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs NY City

FC Cincinnati
76.9%
Draw
7.7%
New York City FC
15.4%
39
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2024 11.30pm
Cincinnati
1-0
NY City
Acosta (57')
Acosta (20')

Perea (45+5')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
3-0
NY City
Boupendza (6'), Moreno (52'), Hagglund (59')
Miazga (45'), Kubo (50')

Risa (88'), Perea (90+2')
> Preview
Jun 1, 2023 12.30am
NY City
1-3
Cincinnati
Cufre (64')
Cufre (41'), Chanot (53'), Sands (56'), Gray (58'), Pereira (66'), Alfaro (82'), Morales (88')
Acosta (38'), Barreal (59'), Vazquez (70' pen.)
Mosquera (43'), Vazquez (45+5'), Acosta (50'), Gaddis (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 8, 2022 1am
NY City
1-1
Cincinnati
> Preview
Jun 30, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
4-4
NY City
> Preview