Leagues Cup
Cincinnati
Aug 6, 2024 1.00am
4
2
HT : 0 2
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
NY City
  • Obinna Nwobodo 78' yellowcard
  • Obinna Nwobodo 78' yellowcard
  • Pavel Bucha 79' goal
  • Pavel Bucha 79' goal
  • Yamil Rodrigo Asad 82' goal
  • Yamil Rodrigo Asad 82' goal
  • Yuya Kubo 86' goal
  • Yuya Kubo 86' goal
  • Sergio Santos 89' goal
  • Sergio Santos 89' goal
  • goal Santiago Rodriguez 25'
  • goal Santiago Rodriguez 25'
  • yellowcard Julian Fernandez 33'
  • yellowcard Julian Fernandez 33'
  • goal Jovan Mijatovic 61'
  • goal Jovan Mijatovic 61'
  • yellowcard Hannes Wolf 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Hannes Wolf 90'+3'

FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Aug 2, 2024 1.00am
Cincinnati 1 - 0 Queretaro

New York City FC

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last game
Jul 29, 2024 1.00am
NY City 0 - 0 Queretaro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 54.86%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 23.1% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result

FC Cincinnati 54.86% ▲ (+2.26)
Draw 22.04% ▼ (-0.42)
New York City FC 23.1% ▼ (-1.84)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.45% ▼ (-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 39.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 38.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 61.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 20.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 79.41% ▲ (+0.01)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 85.59% ▲ (+0.74)
Under 0.5 14.41% ▼ (-0.74)
Over 1.5 57.67% ▲ (+1.42)
Under 1.5 42.33% ▼ (-1.42)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 69.46% ▼ (-1.50)
Under 0.5 30.54% ▲ (+1.50)
Over 1.5 33.24% ▼ (-1.82)
Under 1.5 66.76% ▲ (+1.82)

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 54.86%
Draw 22.04%
New York City FC 23.1%
FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.8% ▲ (+0.11)
1-0 @ 8.53% ▲ (+0.23)
2-0 @ 8.26% ▲ (+0.43)
3-1 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.24)
3-0 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.41)
3-2 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.19)
4-0 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.26)
4-2 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.04)
5-1 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.11)
5-0 @ 1% ▲ (+12.21)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 54.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.11% ▼ (-0.16)
2-2 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.18)
0-0 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.04%
New York City FC
1-2 @ 6% ▼ (-0.35)
0-1 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.23)
0-2 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.27)
1-3 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.25)
2-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.18)
0-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 23.1%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Mar 23, 2024 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Nippert Stadium
NY City
  • Kipp Keller 15' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 20' yellowcard
  • Luciano Acosta 57' goal
  • yellowcard Andres Perea 45'+5'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Nippert Stadium
NY City
  • Aaron Boupendza 6' goal
  • Aaron Boupendza 6' goal
  • Matt Miazga 45' yellowcard
  • Matt Miazga 45' yellowcard
  • Yuya Kubo 50' yellowcard
  • Yuya Kubo 50' yellowcard
  • Junior Moreno 52' goal
  • Junior Moreno 52' goal
  • Nick Hagglund 59' goal
  • Nick Hagglund 59' goal
  • yellowcard Birk Risa 88'
  • yellowcard Birk Risa 88'
  • yellowcard Andres Perea 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Andres Perea 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
NY City
Jun 1, 2023 12.30am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Yankee Stadium
Cincinnati
  • Braian Cufre 64' goal
  • Braian Cufre 64' goal
  • goal Luciano Acosta 38'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 38'
  • goal Alvaro Barreal 59'
  • goal Alvaro Barreal 59'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 70'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 70'
Major League Soccer
NY City
Sep 8, 2022 1.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Cincinnati
  • Gabriel Pereira 41' goal
  • goal Thiago Martins 22' (OG)
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Jun 30, 2022 12.30am
4
4
HT : 3 3
FT
NY City
  • Luciano Acosta 15' goal
  • Brenner 24' goal
  • Brenner 30' goal
  • Obinna Nwobodo 57' yellowcard
  • Allan Cruz 62' yellowcard
  • Brenner 70' goal
  • Brenner 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Justin Haak 31'
  • yellowcard Alexander Callens 31'
  • goal Talles Magno 45'
  • goal Heber 45'+2'
  • goal Heber 45'+7'
  • goal Gabriel Pereira 52'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 33
Cincinnati
Sep 19, 2021 12.30am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
NY City
  • Brenner 4' goal
  • Geoff Cameron 48' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Barreal 74' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Barreal 85' redcard
  • Isaac Atanga 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Ismael Tajouri 26'
  • goal Keaton Parks 37'
  • goal Valentin Castellanos 60'
  • yellowcard Alfredo Morales 69'
  • yellowcard Andres Jasson 77'
  • yellowcard Sean Johnson 83'
  • yellowcard Alexander Callens 90'+7'

Form Data

Cincinnati 1 - 0 Queretaro
NY Red Bulls 3 - 1 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 0 - 1 Chicago Fire
Cincinnati 1 - 3 Charlotte FC
Cincinnati 6 - 1 Inter Miami
DC United 2 - 3 Cincinnati
NY City 0 - 0 Queretaro
Orlando City 1 - 1 NY City
Atlanta 2 - 2 NY City
Chicago Fire 0 - 0 NY City
Austin 2 - 1 NY City
NY City 2 - 0 Montreal