Major League Soccer

Jul 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Orlando City Stadium

Orlando City
1 - 1
NY City

Enrique (52', 52')
Araujo (13'), Araujo (13')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wolf (57', 57')
Sands (43'), Sands (43'), Tanasijevic (70'), Tanasijevic (70'), Wolf (71'), Wolf (71'), Haak (90+6'), Haak (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 0-3 Orlando City
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 2-2 NY City
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 49.9%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	New York City FC
49.9% ( -0.68)	24.6% ( -0.15)	25.49% ( 0.84)

Both teams to score 53.55% (

1.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.33% (

1.32)

48.67% (

-1.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.21% (

1.19)

70.78% (

-1.19)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.47% (

0.24)

19.53% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.58% (

0.39)

51.42% (

-0.39)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.54% (

1.42)

33.46% (

-1.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.91% (

1.53)

70.09% (

-1.53)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 49.9%

New York City FC 25.49%

Draw 24.6%

Orlando City	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.5) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.97% Total : 49.9%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.6%	0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.36% Total : 25.49%