Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 51.95%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus Crew	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
51.95% ( 0.57)	21.88% ( 0.06)	26.16% ( -0.64)

Both teams to score 63.6% (

-0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.29% (

-0.89)

35.7% (

0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.23% (

-0.99)

57.77% (

0.99)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.01% (

-0.13)

13.99% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.49% (

-0.26)

41.5% (

0.25)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.95% (

-0.91)

26.05% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.9% (

-1.24)

61.09% (

1.24)

Score Analysis

Columbus Crew 51.95%

Sporting Kansas City 26.16%

Draw 21.88%

Columbus Crew	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.72% Total : 51.95%	1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.88%	1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.29% Total : 26.16%