Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%).