Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.04%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 41.57% ( | 23.53% ( | 34.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.14% ( | 38.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.82% ( | 61.18% ( |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.93% ( | 19.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.33% ( | 50.67% ( |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% ( | 22.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.27% ( | 55.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 1-0 @ 7.04% ( 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 3-1 @ 4.84% ( 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 4-1 @ 2% ( 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 4-0 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 3.41% Total : 41.57% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 3-3 @ 1.82% ( Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0-2 @ 4.79% ( 1-3 @ 3.97% ( 2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 2-4 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 3.41% Total : 34.9% |