Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 51.88%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.