Philadelphia Union
Leagues Cup | Third-Place Playoff
Aug 25, 2024 at 9.30pm UK
Subaru Park
Colorado Rapids

Philadelphia
2 - 2
Colorado

Baribo (41', 44')
Wagner (26')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Harris (38'), Larraz (49')
Maxso (25')
Colorado win 3-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Leagues Cup clash between Philadelphia Union and Colorado Rapids, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 3-1 Philadelphia
Thursday, August 22 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Los Angeles 4-0 Colorado
Thursday, August 22 at 3am in Leagues Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 51.88%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawColorado Rapids
51.88%22.42%25.7%
Both teams to score 61.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.28%38.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.98%61.02%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.92%15.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.4%43.6%
Colorado Rapids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01%27.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.37%63.63%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 51.88%
    Colorado Rapids 25.7%
    Draw 22.42%
Philadelphia UnionDrawColorado Rapids
2-1 @ 9.62%
1-0 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 7.55%
3-1 @ 6.07%
3-0 @ 4.76%
3-2 @ 3.86%
4-1 @ 2.87%
4-0 @ 2.25%
4-2 @ 1.83%
5-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 4%
Total : 51.88%
1-1 @ 10.16%
2-2 @ 6.12%
0-0 @ 4.22%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.42%
1-2 @ 6.47%
0-1 @ 5.37%
0-2 @ 3.42%
1-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.6%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 25.7%

Head to Head
May 14, 2023 2.30am
Aug 28, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
6-0
Colorado
Gazdag (9', 20' pen., 84'), Carranza (30' pen.), Burke (87'), Real (90+1')

Vallecilla (7'), Priso-Mbongue (11'), Warner (27')
Vallecilla (35')
May 24, 2020 2am
May 30, 2019 12.30am
Gameweek 17
Philadelphia
1-1
Colorado
Santos (26')
Elliott (86')
Lewis (72')
Abubakar (50'), Rubio (58')
Apr 1, 2018 2am
Gameweek 6
Colorado
3-0
Philadelphia
Badji (53', 61', 87')
Price (48'), Blomberg (63'), Serna (69')