Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 49.87%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-4 win for Inter Miami in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 49.87% ( | 23.12% ( | 27.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.11% ( | 40.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.72% ( | 63.28% ( |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.43% ( | 16.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.64% ( | 46.36% ( |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% ( | 28.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.14% ( | 63.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 3-1 @ 5.73% ( 3-0 @ 4.52% ( 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 4-1 @ 2.57% 4-0 @ 2.03% ( 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.36% Total : 49.87% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0-0 @ 4.67% ( 3-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.12% | 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0-2 @ 3.75% ( 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 1-4 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 27.01% |