Major League Soccer

Aug 25, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Citi Field

NY City
2 - 2
Chicago Fire

Martinez (15', 16', 22', 22')
Gray (50'), Gray (50'), Parks (90'), Freese (90+3'), Parks (90')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Cuypers (78', 78'), Gutierrez (90+4' pen., 90+4' pen.)
Gimenez (65'), Gimenez (65'), Navarro (90'), Navarro (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 NY City (4-3 pen.)
Saturday, August 17 at 11pm in Leagues Cup

Goals
for

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Toluca 3-1 Chicago Fire
Friday, August 2 at 2am in Leagues Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Chicago Fire
62.68% ( 0.01)	19.64%	17.68% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 58.97% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.87% (

-0.02)

36.13% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.76% (

-0.01)

58.23% (

0.01)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.96% (

-0)

11.04% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.63% (

-0.01)

35.37% (

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.29% (

-0.02)

33.71% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.63% (

-0.02)

70.37% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 62.68%

Chicago Fire 17.68%

Draw 19.64%

New York City FC	Draw	Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.22% 3-0 @ 6.64% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.66% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.61% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.73% Total : 62.68%	1-1 @ 8.92% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.64%	1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.05% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 17.68%